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ITV Racing Saturday Tips and Previews
IRISH CHAMPIONS DAY ON SATURDAY! Racing live on ITV from Leopardstown PLUS action from Kempton, Haydock and Ascot. I’ve got previews for all 10 races available.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.35 Kempton (AW) Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) 1m4f
1.50 Haydock Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3) 1m
2.10 Kempton (AW) Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap (Series Final) 1m
2.25 Haydock Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap (Class 2) 1m6f
2.35 Ascot bet365 Handicap (Class 2) 7f
2.45 Leopardstown Coolmore America “Justify” Matron Stakes (Group 1) 1m
3.00 Haydock Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap (Class 2) 1m6f
3.10 Ascot Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 1m4f
3.20 Leopardstown Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f
3.35 Haydock Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) 6f
Kempton (AW) 1.35
It is really interesting to see BAY BRIDGE dropping down in grade with his last 4 runs at the top level. He has been a tad unlucky and wins this on his best form. He steps up to this trip for the first time and based on his run at the Curragh in May he should get the trip fine. He is the best horse in the field on ratings and will take a lot of beating.
John Gosden has a cracking record in the race so you have to be wary of Israr but he has 6lb to find with the selection on ratings and has to give him weight as well so it would be a massive performance to win this. His other runner Fortino could improve to run on late but it looks between the two.
Haydock 1.50
Kempton (AW) 2.10
This is a really tricky race so I have had two each way plays with FIRST VIEW my main bet as I think they have targeted this race. He is still a fair bit lower that his mark from the start of the year (95). Based on his last run he is ready to go close.
BOTAS looks overpriced as he is improving all the time over a mile. He won over course and distance last month and is only 2lb higher here. A draw of 8 should work well for him and he will run a big race. Helm Rock is the main danger after a really nice win last time out and even off 8lb higher is a player.
Haydock 2.25
That was a massive run from DENMARK chasing home the progressive Middle Earth in the Melrose at York last month. He loved the step up in trip and reacted well to the blinkers. He is lightly raced and almost certainly has more to come so looks worth siding with here to go one better. He is 5lb higher but is unexposed over staying trips and I can see him being well backed.
Naqeeb is well bred but I didn’t think he looked the most straightforward winning at Kempton and this is obviously much tougher. He seems short enough in the betting to me. I think the Melrose form will play out and Lordship will emerge as the main danger as he can probably build on that fourth last time as a few things went wrong in that race behind the selection. I expect the pair to fight it out.
Ascot 2.35
Just the 14 go to post for this which makes MOBASHR at a double-figure price even more appealing. He is the bottom weight in this after going close plenty. That includes a course and distance win where he only just lost out. He likely has more to come off just 81 with his form working out well so I expect him to go very well.
Quinault lost his winning run last time and steps back up to 7 furlongs. If the long season isn’t catching up with him he has to be a player once again. Star Of Orion for the flying Ralph Beckett is hard to rule out and will likely be in the mix too.
Leopardstown 2.45
This race very much revolves around Tahiyra and if she manages to produce her best she will probably win. I worry a bit about the ground though as it’s going to be quick enough. We also haven’t seen her since Royal Ascot back in June so fitness is taken on trust. I just feel there is enough to oppose and ZARINSK seems decent value at 9/1. She has won 3 of her last 4 and impressed over 7f at this track last time beating a good yardstick in Honey Girl. She is proven over a mile and seems to have plenty going for her at a big price.
Of the rest Oisin Murphy is over to ride Homeless Songs. She is a smart filly who was back to form denied just a neck on return over C&D back in April. Back on a sound surface she should also run well. Rogue Millennium is another one that might not be far away and is a double-figure price.
Haydock 3.00
This is always a tough race to call but I did like the way CAIUS CHORISTER ran at this trip at York last time out. He found trouble in-running and Ascot might suit him better. Jamie Spencer is booked so we might see a more patient ride. He looks like he could go well off 99 and is the one to beat based on his last run.
Aztec Empire is the favourite at the time of writing and is interesting down in trip. I think he is best over 2 miles but Ascot can take some getting so should suit. Get Shirty is dropping down the weights and could be competitive in this slightly easier race.
Ascot 3.10
I have been with OVERACTIVE the last twice and I’ve been waiting for him to run again as I think he remains open to a lot more improvement yet. He is still completely unexposed over a mile and a half and the way he travelled through the race at Leicester last time was really impressive. He seems to have worked out this racing game now and has learned to do it the right way settling much better and quickening when asked. This is obviously a better race and he is 7lb higher but I still think there is lots to like and he should run a big race under Laura Pearson.
Gallant Lion has won his last four and up another 3lb should give his running once more. Kingman colt Alsakib won at Chester and then Windsor before running well at Goodwood and up in trip again is another one to note.
Leopardstown 3.20
This looks a really good Champion Stakes without a standout with just a few pounds splitting the top 6 in the market. Aidan O’Brien has a cracking record in the race winning the last 4 renewals and I think he will have AUGUSTE RODIN back to his best here. The Derby winner ran flat last time and virtually pulled up. Before that he won the English and Irish Derby. A run to that level would see him go close in an open race.
Derby runner-up King Of Steel is the main danger as this race should suit with the pace that is on. He just needs to prove he can win at the very top now. Alflaila is interesting up in trip along with Luxembourg who won this last year.
Haydock 3.35
The market will probably prove quite lively for this as while I believe SHAQUILLE is undoubtedly the one to beat he does have a habit of starting slow and many will use that as a reason to oppose at a short price. He has won his last 6 and again impressed winning the July Cup Stakes when last seen. That form has been franked since too with the third Kinross winning at Glorious Goodwood and York and even the fourth Art Power winning over in Ireland. If he gets the gaps he should be able to pick them up under a red-hot James Doyle.
Mill Stream has taken his form up a few notches since losing out to Quinault winning twice in France and could go well at decent each way odds. Sacred failed to justify market support at York last time but doesn’t look ideally suited by that track. If he bounces back he could also be a decent proposition to rattle the frame.
ITV Racing Win Treble
I’ve combined my three best bets on ITV Racing on Saturday to make a Win Treble. Pays 10/1!
ITV Racing Win Double
Kempton 1.35 Bay Bridge
Haydock 1.50 Light Infantry NAP
Haydock 3.35 Shaquille
Pays 10/1!
ITV Racing Lucky 15
I have taken four of my bets on ITV Racing on Saturday and combined them to make a Lucky 15 which looks decent value. Pays 800/1!
