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Cheltenham Festival Lucky 15

Over the last week I have had a few more bets on the Festival. My NAP went out on Thursday and has been really popular but it wouldn't be the Cheltenham Festival without a Lucky 15.

My Lucky 15s at Cheltenham have always had a good record and this year I particularly like all 4 horses for not only their chances but the prices are great.

The lucky 15 is below but if you want to know why I picked each selection I have a preview for each race as well.

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Cheltenham Festival Lucky 15
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Cheltenham (Wednesday)
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13:20
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Final Demand
Trainer
Willie Mullins
13/8
Add To Bet Slip
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Form -
11
Age -
6
Weight -
11-7
Draw -
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CHELTENHAM (Wednesday)
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3:20
1
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Stumptown
Trainer
Gavin Cromwell
11/4
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Form -
PU3U1-11
Age -
8
Weight -
11-10
Draw -
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CHELTENHAM (THURSDAY)
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2:00
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Jagwar
Trainer
O & J Guerriero
5/1
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Form -
25145-1131
Age -
6
Weight -
10-11
Draw -
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CHELTENHAM (Friday)
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1:20
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Lulamba
Trainer
Nicky Henderson
2/1
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Form -
1
Age -
4
Weight -
11-2
Draw -
PAYS 175/1
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Turners Novices’ Hurdle
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CHELTENHAM (Wednesday)
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13:30
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Trends
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11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
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6 of the last 12 winners were favourites and 10 of 12 top 3 in the betting
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10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before
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12 of the last 12 winners were rated 146 or higher

The Turners Novices’ Hurdle looks a straight shootout between FINAL DEMAND and The New Lion this year. The latter has impressed visually but I’d have to doubt the form of the Challow and I think that makes the Mullins runner a strong bet. He is yet to taste defeat having won impressively on debut under Rules at Limerick and then arguably he looks even better slamming Wingmen at the Dubin Racing Festival last month.

He is only going to improve from that and he is an exciting horse. I know some are concerned about the ground but I think he has such a long stride he should be able to handle it and I’m confident he’ll be the one finishing best of all up the Cheltenham hill. Bar the front pair The Yellow Clay is certainly no back number but I’m hoping he goes for the Albert Bartlett rather than comes here.

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Final Demand
Trainer
Willie Mullins
13/8
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Form -
11
Age -
6
Weight -
11-7
Draw -
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National Hunt Cup
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CHELTENHAM (Wednesday)
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3:20
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Trends
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10 of the last 11 winners have been aged 8 or older
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9 of the last 11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
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8 of the last 11 winners ran within the last 46 days
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9 of the last 11 winners had a rating of 142 or higher

I don’t usually have a strong opinion on the Cross Country and it is usually a race I love watching but rarely punting on. That is different this year though as STUMPTOWN looks an absolute standout. He has looked really progressive of late winning twice at Punchestown and then doing it convincingly at this track back in December. He was good value for that win and is still just an 8yo so has more upside than most. He probably wants the ground a bit softer but it is still soft and heavy in places on the Cross Country course and also he did win on good ground at Sandown over fences so should handle it even if it does dry up.

Plenty of dangers in a race of this nature including the fences themselves. Mister Coffey does have a habit of finding one or two too good but with the ground more in his favour he could definitely run a big race again. We know everything there is to know about Galvin but he is an 11yo now and will start regressing at some point and does look really short in the betting at around 4/1 so I’m happy to oppose this time.

1
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Stumptown
Trainer
Gavin Cromwell
11/4
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Form -
PU3U1-11
Age -
8
Weight -
11-10
Draw -
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Limited Handicap Chase
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CHELTENHAM (THURSDAY)
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13:30
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Trends
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11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
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10 of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
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10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before
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11 of the last 12 winners were rated 147 or higher

The market couldn’t give JAGWAR away on Cheltenham Trials Day but he still ran out a very stylish winner. He jumped really well and just stalked the pace before being produced in the closing stages. He has now won 3 from 4 over fences and has done very little wrong. He is open to further improvement and should relish this test with there likely to be a strong pace on. He has a high cruising speed and granted usual luck in-running looks one of the best bets in the handicaps this year.

Nurburgring is interesting but Flat breds don’t have the best record at Cheltenham so that would be a bit concerning. I can see Gordon Elliott having a good Festival so Firefox could emerge as the biggest danger. He has been running in Graded company finishing behind the likes of Majborough so back in a handicap is definitely interesting and catches the eye.

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Jagwar
Trainer
O & J Guerriero
5/1
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Form -
25145-1131
Age -
6
Weight -
10-11
Draw -
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JCB Triumph Hurdle
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CHELTENHAM (Friday)
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1:20
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Trends
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5 of the last 12 winners were favourites and 7 of 12 top 3 in the betting
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7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before
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2 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham
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9 of the last 12 winners were rated 139 or higher (3 of 12 didn’t have a rating yet)

The Triumph Hurdle has been one of the talking races of this year’s Cheltenham Festival and I am very much in the LULAMBA camp. It isn’t ideal coming in here with just the 1 run over hurdles but he was impressive at Ascot and he comes with a tall reputation. He is open to any amount of improvement and I have a feeling he is a horse we could be talking about for the next few years and not just this race. I expect him to come home strongly up the hill and he is one of my stronger bets of the week.

East India Dock hasn’t done much wrong and has won at the track so will understandably have his backers. He hasn’t been taken out of his comfort zone yet though and I’m fairly confident he’ll have to find something more to come out on top here as he is bumping into a horse with potential to go right to the top in time. Not just a two-horse race though as Hello Neighbour impressed at the Dublin Racing Festival and also Palladium has come off the Flat and could improve again.

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Lulamba
Trainer
Nicky Henderson
2/1
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Form -
1
Age -
4
Weight -
11-2
Draw -
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Lucky 15 Tips for Day 1

Our Cheltenham Festival Day 1 tips are:

  • 1:20 Kopek Des Bordes
  • 2:00 Majborough
  • 2:40 Zanahiyr
  • 5:20 Will Do
GYTO are proud to of been voted the best Cheltenham Festival tipsters by SportsBettingTipsters for 2025.
 
Check out Joe Norris predictions for Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Tips for SBT.