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Aintree Day 1 Tips
I can’t wait for Aintree’s Grand National Festival to get underway! Four Grade 1s to kick off the action on Merseyside and we have some mouthwatering clashes in store including the rematch between Constitution Hill and Lossiemouth. We have covered every race in detail on Thursday and hopefully we can make it a winning start with the big one the Grand National to come on Saturday.
I’ve got to side with Arkle winner JANGO BAIE here. He is 2 from 3 over fences now and it was quite taking how he split rivals late to win at Cheltenham. He didn’t look happy over 2 miles so stepping back up in trip looks perfect and with the promise of more to come he should be able to follow up. He ran well at the track last year albeit over hurdles and ticks plenty of boxes.
Impaire Et Passe beat Bob Olinger in a thriller in the Aintree Hurdle at this meeting last year and he has done well over fences also winning 2 from 3 so could be the danger. He does need to bounce back from that run at the Dublin Racing Festival though. Croke Park is also respected but he might get tapped for toe on this flatter track.
I’m keen to side with the untapped potential LIVE CONTI brings to the table. He overcame inexperience to make a winning start in France and 11 of the last 16 winners began their careers over in France which is encouraging. He improved again to make all at Wetherby on debut for Dan Skelton and has likely been targeted at this race since. He is open to further improvement and is worth chancing.
Puturhandstogether was impressive winning the Fred Winter at Cheltenham last month and will understandably be popular to follow up here. This is tougher stepping up to a Grade 1 though and he’ll need to improve again. Mambonumberfive impressed winning the Adonis and is another one I can see getting competitive.
It was great to see GREY DAWNING back in the winners enclosure at Kelso last month. He got into a lovely rhythm and was always too strong for Iroko who is a very smart horse himself. He has reportedly come out the race really well since and with this likely targeted for a while I can see him taking a lot of beating. He is still lightly raced over fences so has the potential to improve further and if he wins this he could put himself into the picture for the Cheltenham Gold Cup next year which would be exciting.
I feel the betting as this spot on and Spillane’s Tower is the biggest danger. His half a length second to Fact To File in the John Durkan is strong form and despite running a bit flat when fifth in the King George he should run a big race. The ground is a bit of a worry though as it’s drying out all the time and that makes the selection a much stronger bet than he’d usually be.
It is round 2 between Constitution Hill and LOSSIEMOUTH and I’m keen to side with the latter this time. I know Constitution Hill beat her at Kempton but she never really travelled that day and just looked tapped for toe over 2 miles. She was seen in much better light winning impressively at the Cheltenham Festival last month and she could gain her revenge now. She has run 4 times over 2 and a half miles and is yet to taste defeat so I can see her moving strongly into this before staying on the best in the closing stages.
Constitution Hill took a heavy fall in the Champion Hurdle and has a point to prove after that. If bouncing back he is obviously a big danger but I can see him setting it up for the selection and I’m not convinced about him over this trip either as he is an enthusiastic sort. I know he won the race a couple of years ago but there was nothing in there to truly test him and this will be much tougher.
For a 10yo MY DROGO is still lightly raced. He has only had 10 starts under Rules and just 4 over fences. He looked a happy horse winning readily at Haydock when last seen and is still open to plenty of improvement. In a race full of largely exposed types he looks good value to come out on top. Hopefully they ride him just tucked in off the pace as I feel he is a horse you have to keep interested. If he jumps well I’m struggling to see how he doesn’t lay down a serious challenge in the closing stages.
Willitgoahead ran a massive race in defeat to finish third at Cheltenham last month and if building on that again looks a danger to all. Lifetime Ambition was a talented horse under Rules for Jessica Harrington and has been doing well so it is no surprise to see him figure prominently in the betting and he should get involved too. Famous Clermont will travel strongly and is another one who could get involved.
This is wide open but the strong travelling MY MATE MOZZIE should go close for Gavin Cromwell. He bumped into one at the Dublin Racing Festival and then backed that up with a big run to finish fourth behind Jazzy Matty in the Grand Annual last month. He is still lightly raced in handicaps over fences and comes out well on the trends so I’ll be surprised if he doesn’t get competitive again. The harder they go the better for him and this flatter track should suit him too as he has a high cruising speed so should travel into it.
Primoz is currently fav but he is a tricky horse and looks opposable. The Folkes Tiara has been consistent and likely won’t be far away. General Medrano has ground to make up with the selection but the yard are going great guns and he will be another one suited if they go hard as he also travels strongly into his races which will be a big positive around here.
It is hard to see how SEO LINN doesn’t win this. She has won 2 of her last 3 and was much the best beating subsequent winner Siog Geal at Cheltenham when last seen. Strong Run was back in third and I think she’ll confirm that form here. She has been put away since with this in mind and that is a big positive arriving here fresh. She will be staying on strongly and it is no surprise to see her strong in the betting as her chance looks an obvious one.
Charisma Cat is bred to keep improving with age and experience and I liked the way she picked up to win at Sandown last month. She could be the danger but don’t ignore Blue Betty either as she impressed winning on debut at Newcastle and could improve plenty as well.
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